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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1obakobakkRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)63% (993–578, n=1571)no settled market48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$4.8M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #96—PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (147 of 198 open)71% (52 of 73 open)no open consensus position60% (34 of 57 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1obakobakkRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Will LKP Motor Lublin win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.5K——Yes $1.5K
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $3.8K——Max Hans Rehberg $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $600——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Kilian Feldbausch $241——Sumit Nagal $997
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $13——Over $1.2K
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $752——Yes $309
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $287——Ipek Oz $680
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Celtics $219——Hornets $124
LKP Motor Lublin vs. Wisla Plock: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4——Over $331
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
76ers $188——Cavaliers $57
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $38——Over $75
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31——No $12
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7——No $11
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2K——No $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $2.9K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5K——Over $2.9K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $852——No $729
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K——No $197
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
Zsombor Piros $652——Zsombor Piros $644
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $175——Juan Bautista Torres $1.0K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $239——No $841
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $243——Anastasia Zakharova $393
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $537——Over $52
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $361——Kings $111
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139——Yes $192
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
Carlo Alberto Caniato $11——Carlo Alberto Caniato $300
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $42
Exact Score: Antalyaspor 1 - 0 Bursaspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $36——Yes $17