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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GoalLineGhostRN100gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)48% (5825–6275, n=12100)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL-$1.8M$13.4M$3.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #164PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus66% (77 of 117 open)62% (77 of 125 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +30 pts n=4651, ROI +23%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 4651 at avg 69¢, ROI +23%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 95% of 414)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 98% of 494)22% (won 94% of 5497)0%26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 99% of 1015)36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 2728)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGoalLineGhostRN100gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $34KOver $30K——
Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.1KYes $320——
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.6KOver $277——
Will Bohemians Praha 1905 win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.8KYes $897——
Will US Lecce win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6KNo $2.7K——
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC
Arsenal FC $3.7KLiverpool FC $5——
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3KOver $5——
Will Elche CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0KYes $38——
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.1KNo $70——
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $887Over $17——
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $776Over $100——
Elche CF leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $684Yes $89——
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $310Over $358——
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $9Yes $246——
Brøndby IF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4Under $237——
AEK Athens leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14No $150——
Genoa CFC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $115No $13——
Will Campobasso FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $100No $2——
Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $22——
Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $8.0KNo $24K——
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $14K——
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $7.4K——
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $16KUnder $6.1K——
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)
same side · consensus Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV $4.6KHamburger SV $8.0K——
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6.7KUnder $4.3K——
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2KNo $1.2K——
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.8KOver $1.5K——
Will Asteras Tripolis win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $1.7K——
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $1.8KNo $647——
Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)
same side · consensus Genoa CFC
Genoa CFC $1.7KGenoa CFC $226——
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.8KUnder $75——
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7KNo $8——
Panathinaikos Athens vs. AEK Athens: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $417Under $975——
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $95No $1.1K——
Spread: PAOK Thessaloniki (-1.5)
same side · consensus PAOK Thessaloniki
PAOK Thessaloniki $430PAOK Thessaloniki $674——
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $862Under $56——
PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $80Over $753——
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $729No $15——
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $277No $453——
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $52Over $567——
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $483No $94——
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
Yes $371Yes $52——
Bohemians Praha 1905 vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $318Under $7——
PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $3Over $241——
Panathinaikos Athens vs. AEK Athens: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $206Under $24——
PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $196Under $15——
Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $105Yes $74——
PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $89Under $61——
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $43Over $3——
Will Lommel SK vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5No $7——