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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GoalLineGhostRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)48% (5825–6275, n=12100)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL-$1.8M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #164PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus67% (110 of 165 open)60% (81 of 134 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +30 pts n=4651, ROI +23%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 4651 at avg 69¢, ROI +23%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 95% of 414)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 98% of 494)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 99% of 1015)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 2728)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGoalLineGhostRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
Real Madrid CF $21KReal Racing Club $329—
Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6.9KUnder $10K—
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
Real Madrid CF $7.7KReal Racing Club $408—
Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.8KOver $178—
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-31?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.3KNo $2.9K—
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.7KOver $277—
FK Austria Wien vs. SK Rapid: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $976Under $2.8K—
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC
Arsenal FC $3.2KLiverpool FC $51—
Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Sporting de Gijón
Real Sporting de Gijón $1.7KAD Ceuta FC $1.0K—
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Kristiansund BK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.9KYes $577—
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8KUnder $234—
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $21No $1.9K—
Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3KYes $500—
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $248No $1.5K—
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7KYes $22—
IF Elfsborg vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $279Over $1.2K—
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1KOver $196—
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1KOver $12—
Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $981Over $67—
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $919Yes $119—
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $953No $41—
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $799Under $13—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liverpool FC
Liverpool FC $797Arsenal FC $4—
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $520Under $272—
FK Austria Wien vs. SK Rapid: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $525Under $257—
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $463No $202—
FC Groningen vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $511Under $118—
Will Asteras Tripolis win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $9No $593—
Campobasso FC vs. Forli FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $272Under $4—
Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
Real Racing Club $3Real Madrid CF $210—
Will Campobasso FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $100No $7—
Lausanne-Sport vs. FC Thun: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2Over $70—
Will Lausanne-Sport vs. FC Thun end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14Yes $6—
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $11Under $6—
Will IK Start vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $13Yes $2—
AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $10Under $2—
IF Elfsborg vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3Over $4—
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9.2KOver $17K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $8.9K—
Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $6.9KNo $6.0K—
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
same side · consensus Real Madrid CF
Real Madrid CF $9.7KReal Madrid CF $18—
Will IK Start win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $4.1KNo $4.6K—
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.0KUnder $1.6K—
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2KNo $1.1K—
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3KUnder $1.6K—
Will IF Elfsborg vs. Orgryte IS end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5KNo $321—
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.5KUnder $15—
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7KNo $530—
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $357Under $1.8K—
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $95No $1.9K—