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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HRTrading | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2951–2450, n=5401) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #990 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (76 of 128 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 53% (62 of 117 open) | 72% (73 of 102 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 28) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 77) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 99% of 97) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 100% of 176) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HRTrading | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $145 | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $3 | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $2 | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $103 | — | — | Magic $76K |
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $73 | — | Under $9.2K | — |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Dylan Dietrich | Dylan Dietrich $1 | — | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris | Jangjun Kim $4 | — | Ozan Baris $4.0K | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $43 | — | Over $2.5K | — |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $31 | — | No $2.2K | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $31 | — | Yes $934 | — |
| Juventus FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6 | — | Yes $648 | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2 | — | Over $207 | — |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $138 | — | Felipe de Dios $1 | — |
| Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11 | — | Yes $102 | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $32 | — | Under $30 | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $48 | — | Over $12 | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $10 | — | Over $39 | — |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Valentin Garay $5 | — | Nicolas Bruna $17 | — |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $21 | — | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $18K | Bills $51K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $971 | — | No $26K | — |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $17 | — | No $6.7K | — |
| Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $29 | — | No $4.1K | — |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $44 | — | No $3.3K | — |
| Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? same side · consensus No | No $1 | — | No $2.1K | — |
| Exact Score: Juventus FC 3 - 0 SSC Napoli? same side · consensus No | No $6 | — | No $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) same side · consensus Toulouse FC | Toulouse FC $4 | — | Toulouse FC $1.8K | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $4 | — | Under $954 | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $11 | — | Under $643 | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $118 | — | No $516 | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2 | — | Over $526 | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $17 | — | Under $335 | — |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Ryan Seggerman $13 | — | Ryan Seggerman $294 | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $35 | — | Under $213 | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $3 | — | Under $228 | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | No $29 | — | No $185 | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $22 | — | Under $141 | — |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $133 | — | No $18 | — |
| Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $42 | — | Yes $108 | — |
| SSC Napoli leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $18 | — | No $4 | — |
| Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1 | — | Over $20 | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | No $1 | — | No $18 | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $1 | — | Under $6 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) same side · consensus Magic | Celtics $2 | — | Celtics $3 | — |