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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JSG3RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)57% (16–12, n=28)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$44K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #475PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus83% (15 of 18 open)65% (93 of 142 open)72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +19 pts n=13, ROI +15%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won61% of 28 at avg 58¢, ROI +11%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 38% of 8)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 70% of 10)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 63% of 8)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJSG3RN1BreakTheBank
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $5.5KBrowns $255K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $57K—No $184K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $109K—Yes $77K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $11KCardinals $59K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $24K—Yes $37K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.7K—No $35K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $400Raiders $17K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.9KFalcons $8.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6K—No $590
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.6K—Yes $272K
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $17Raiders $209K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.3KRaiders $104K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $313—No $40K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $714Cardinals $35K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $1.1KRaiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $643Jaguars $20K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $38—Yes $14K
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $8.6K—No $747
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.9K—Yes $2.2K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10—Yes $41