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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JSG3 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (16–12, n=28) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $44K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #475 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (15 of 18 open) | 58% (85 of 147 open) | 72% (79 of 109 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 28 at avg 58¢, ROI +11% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 38% of 8) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 70% of 10) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 63% of 8) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JSG3 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $1.9K | Browns $297K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $6.0K | Browns $255K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $57K | — | No $184K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $109K | — | Yes $77K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $24K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.7K | — | No $35K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $109 | Raiders $17K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | — | No $590 | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $22K | Bills $378K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $4.3K | Raiders $104K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $18K | Bills $51K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $313 | — | No $40K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.7K | Raiders $24K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $20K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $38 | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $8.6K | — | No $747 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.9K | — | Yes $2.2K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | Yes $41 | — |