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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LilybaeumCORGIIRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)57% (5630–4163, n=9793)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$995K$4.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #251PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus46% (6 of 13 open)0% (0 of 4 open)53% (62 of 117 open)70% (14 of 20 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +62 pts n=1356, ROI +65%
  • NBA +49 pts n=319, ROI +42%
  • MLB +53 pts n=61, ROI +56%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 6070 at avg 63¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 98% of 414)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 100% of 1750)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 100% of 1122)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up46% (won 100% of 2784)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLilybaeumCORGIIRN1primm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $18KRavens $696
Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite
opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite
Andre Souza $12—Wilson Leite $12K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $647Bills $4.5K
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $4.0KRavens $295
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KUnder $2.1K
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4—No $2.6K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $1.1K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.2KOver $8
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $434Under $65
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Geoffrey Blancaneaux $54—Shunsuke Mitsui $5—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $3.5K—No $26K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.2KUnder $2.8K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.2KUnder $261
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $272—No $6.7K—
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
——Bills $4.0KBills $2.7K
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar $417—Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K—
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $2.5KBills $282
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $629Cardinals $1.0K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $308—No $516—
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $93Bills $662