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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NooseracBreakTheBankRN100gringo00
Record (consensus markets)52% (5263–4808, n=10071)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$10.6M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus72% (46 of 64 open)74% (72 of 97 open)67% (16 of 24 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164———
Settled positions, side won54% of 10044 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1317)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3583)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3478)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1666)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooseracBreakTheBankRN100gringo00
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $13KChiefs $465K——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.5KYes $39K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.8KYes $14K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.5KNo $16K——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11KYes $28——
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $781—Under $9.2K—
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5.7K—No $3.3K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $13KNo $407K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.7KYes $20K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $844Yes $16K——
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.8KYes $3.0K——
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $192Yes $2.5K——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7KYes $967——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $334Yes $2.3K——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3KYes $118——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1KYes $193——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $56Yes $164——