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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RememberAmalekRN1beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)61% (731–459, n=1190)48% (12899–14013, n=26912)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (537–647, n=1184)
Consensus PnL$672K$13.4M$5.8M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #881 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus55% (60 of 110 open)67% (6 of 9 open)100% (1 of 1 open)73% (78 of 107 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won73% of 1140 at avg 61¢, ROI +5%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 21% of 276)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 63% of 150)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 83% of 167)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up48% (won 98% of 547)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRememberAmalekRN1beachboy4BreakTheBank
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $59K——No $444K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K——Yes $77K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $179——No $23K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.4K——Yes $272K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51K——Yes $171K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K——No $101K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $159——Yes $72K
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
Yes $71——Yes $56K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $15K——No $40K
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $31——Yes $24K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22——Yes $13K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $17——Yes $7.9K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10——Yes $7.2K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10——Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7——Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7——Yes $5.0K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $15——Yes $1.3K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $8——Yes $65