← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UbuntuTrading | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (1752–1897, n=3649) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $117K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (43 of 81 open) | 54% (65 of 121 open) | 72% (73 of 102 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=195 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 35% of 3786 at avg 35¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 64% (won 6% of 2407) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 37% of 153) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 68% of 159) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 1067) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.