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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VeryLucky888sainttroplayRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)58% (26675–19314, n=45989)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$417K$4.4M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus64% (103 of 161 open)no open consensus position54% (63 of 116 open)72% (73 of 101 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −3 pts, n=1812———
Settled positions, side won53% of 17416 at avg 54¢, ROI 0%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 22% of 1978)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 43% of 5856)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 5819)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 78% of 3763)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVeryLucky888sainttroplayRN1BreakTheBank
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $544—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $180—Magic $228Magic $51K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $32—Magic $161Magic $13K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $1.7K——Cardinals $35K
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $5.3K——Magic $24K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.7K—Over $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.1K—No $2.6K—
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Dylan Dietrich
Dylan Dietrich $429—Liam Draxl $5.2K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $615—Over $2.5K—
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $426—No $2.6K—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toulouse FC
Olympique de Marseille $49—Toulouse FC $1.8K—
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $374—Yes $934—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $54—Under $954—
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $672—Yes $102—
Juventus FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15—Yes $648—
Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 2 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $457—Yes $123—
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $305—Under $141—
Exact Score: Olympique de Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $378—Yes $15—
Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman
Jonas Forejtek $91—Ryan Seggerman $294—
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Geoffrey Blancaneaux $319—Shunsuke Mitsui $5—
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Braga
SC Braga $294—FC Famalicão $21—
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $66—Over $12—
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $40—No $18—
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $16—Felipe de Dios $1—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $5.1K—No $26K—
Spread: Cowboys (-17.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $12K—Cardinals $1.4K—
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $185—Under $9.2K—
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $132—No $6.7K—
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
same side · consensus Ozan Baris
Ozan Baris $24—Ozan Baris $4.0K—
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $375—No $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $164—Over $3.0K—
Spread: Bengals (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $1.1K—Titans $39—
Exact Score: Juventus FC 1 - 2 SSC Napoli?
same side · consensus No
No $8—No $946—
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $12—Cowboys $605—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $2—No $516—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $12—Under $228—
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
same side · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Jose Pereira $3—Jose Pereira $129—
Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Nicolas Bruna
Nicolas Bruna $73—Nicolas Bruna $17—
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $41—Under $30—