Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VetchBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)63% (299–178, n=477)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$333K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #688PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)72% (79 of 110 open)56% (88 of 156 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +17 pts n=149, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +12 pts n=68, ROI +33%
  • NHL +8 pts n=31, ROI +16%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL −6 pts, n=19———
Settled positions, side won68% of 444 at avg 60¢, ROI +18%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 27% of 55)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 56% of 98)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 69% of 132)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 89% of 159)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVetchBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K—
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255KSteelers $6.0K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171KJets $8.9K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K—
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $2.9K——B8 $20K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $423—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $2.7K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Legacy
Legacy $1.1K——TheMongolz $2.2K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378KBills $22K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $500No $184K——
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51KBills $18K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $2.3K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $1.1K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
same side · consensus Aurora Gaming
Liquid $101——Liquid $11K