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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
aaabbbRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)61% (449–282, n=731)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$210K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #766PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus46% (6 of 13 open)63% (90 of 144 open)72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +30 pts n=190, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=84, ROI +13%
  • NFL +17 pts n=189, ROI +3%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won74% of 652 at avg 55¢, ROI +5%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 26% of 123)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 59% of 111)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 186)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 93% of 232)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketaaabbbRN1BreakTheBank
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $380—Bills $378K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $5.5KBrowns $255K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7K—No $252K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $192Raiders $171K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $11KCardinals $59K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $400Raiders $17K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.9KFalcons $8.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.3KRaiders $104K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.9K—No $35K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.0K—Yes $37K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $714Cardinals $35K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $1.1KRaiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $643Jaguars $20K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $16K
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11K—Yes $4.4K
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.4K—Yes $193
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6K—Yes $967
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $400—Yes $1.1K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $128—Yes $164