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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–665, n=1225)50% (15059–15076, n=30135)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #57PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)57% (91 of 160 open)65% (106 of 162 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $15KYes $2.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $279Yes $964
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.0KYes $149—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $68No $663
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
——Daniil Medvedev $17Ignacio Buse $421
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
opposite sides · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
——Aren Baybars $2Leonid Sheyngezikht $384
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato
——Lisa Pigato $46Gaia Maduzzi $312
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
opposite sides · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
——Michael Wright $3Jeremy Gschwendtner $175
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
——Quentin Halys $12KQuentin Halys $40K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $22KYes $117—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $16KYes $1.6K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $215—
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $11KNo $1.4K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KYes $69—
Will Stjarnan Gardabae win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.2KYes $458
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa
——Deborah Chiesa $18Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KYes $59—
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $427Under $119
M25 Heraklion: Matias Reyniak vs Petros Tsitsipas
same side · consensus Matias Reyniak
——Petros Tsitsipas $12Petros Tsitsipas $322
Buriram United leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $31Yes $58
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28Yes $41—