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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | MadridTime | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 51% (797–781, n=1578) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$13K | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | was PM monthly #789 | PM monthly #148 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 47% (96 of 204 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 63% (176 of 281 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 100% of 26) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 17% (won 100% of 85) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 19% (won 100% of 94) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 59% (won 100% of 296) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
60 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | MadridTime | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff | — | Jan-Lennard Struff $42K | — | Thiago Agustin Tirante $23K |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $29K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $11K | — | Yes $111 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $31 | — | Over $7.1K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $714 | — | Under $6.0K |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $134 | — | Over $5.6K |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $77 | — | Over $4.2K |
| Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $827 | — | Yes $3.0K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2 | — | Over $3.1K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $35 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.9K | — | Yes $513 |
| Will PSV vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $61 | — | No $2.3K |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $12 | — | Over $1.9K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $16 | — | No $1.8K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $117 | — | Over $1.6K |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 0 - 0 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $8 | — | No $1.7K |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $603 | — | Yes $628 |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $66 | — | Over $1.2K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Under $1.2K |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2 | — | Over $990 |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus RB Leipzig | — | Manchester City FC $407 | — | RB Leipzig $344 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $210 | — | Yes $378 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $45 | — | Yes $517 |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $350 | — | Under $43 |
| Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Real Betis Balompié | — | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $378 | — | Real Betis Balompié $12 |
| Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $244 | — | Yes $64 |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $31 | — | Under $217 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $244 | — | No $3 |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympiakós SFP | — | Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5 | — | Olympiakós SFP $204 |
| Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $129 | — | Under $28 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $118 | — | No $16 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $5 | — | Yes $104 |
| Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $30 | — | Yes $76 |
| PSV leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $5 | — | Yes $88 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $72 | — | No $3 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | — | Lorenzo Musetti $8.6K | — | Lorenzo Musetti $53K |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $32K | — | No $6.5K |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $11K | — | No $148 |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $8.8K | — | No $2.2K |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) same side · consensus Real Madrid CF | — | AEK $5.0K | — | AEK $5.2K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? same side · consensus No | — | No $623 | — | No $9.0K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | — | Tomas Machac $7.2K | — | Tomas Machac $2.3K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.7K | — | Under $3.8K |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $163 | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.1K |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $579 | — | No $6.8K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $30 | — | Under $6.8K |
| Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 3 - 1 Liverpool FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $725 | — | No $6.0K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | Yes $4.2K | — | Yes $2.3K |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $522 | — | No $5.3K |
| Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua same side · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | Renata Zarazua $2.5K | — | Renata Zarazua $3.0K |