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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
big8betzprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (60–58, n=118)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$114K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #216PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)59% (23 of 39 open)55% (88 of 160 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +17 pts n=28, ROI +13%
  • NBA +7 pts n=30, ROI +12%
Weakest topicNFL −2 pts, n=11——
Settled positions, side won57% of 76 at avg 48¢, ROI +11%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 27% of 11)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 44% of 27)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 77% of 35)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 33% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbig8betzprimmRN1
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Panthers $6.6KBroncos $39K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $9.7K—Over $24K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $285Rams $14K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $133Rams $12K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $1.2KLions $7.2K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $131Giants $7.3K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KOver $99
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.6KOver $142
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $745Rams $3.5K
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Lions $2.0KDolphins $2.2K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $97Over $3.6K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $958Browns $1.8K
Spread: Rams (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Commanders $314—Rams $2.2K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $94Cowboys $2.1K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $267Lions $787
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $48KChiefs $13K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $47KLions $2.8K
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $11KDolphins $2.3K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.5K—Under $886
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
—Eagles $3.4KEagles $868
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $235
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $924Over $657
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Saints $16Saints $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $14