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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
big8betzprimmRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)51% (60–58, n=118)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$114K$3.6M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #216PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)58% (22 of 38 open)54% (85 of 157 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +17 pts n=28, ROI +13%
  • NBA +7 pts n=30, ROI +12%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNFL −2 pts, n=11——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won57% of 76 at avg 48¢, ROI +11%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 27% of 11)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 44% of 27)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 77% of 35)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 33% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbig8betzprimmRN1S-Works
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Panthers $6.6KBroncos $46K—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $285Rams $15K—
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $133Rams $14K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6.8KUnder $4.5K—
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $1.2KLions $8.2K—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $131Giants $7.7K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $94Cowboys $7.5K—
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $97Over $6.8K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K—
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Lions $2.0KDolphins $3.3K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $1.9K—
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KOver $99—
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $745Rams $4.1K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.6KOver $142—
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $958Browns $2.8K—
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $50Browns $3.5K—
Spread: Rams (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Commanders $176—Rams $2.5K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $267Lions $787—
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $48KChiefs $13K—
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $11KDolphins $3.4K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KUnder $7.4K—
Spread: Lions (-5.5)
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $3.2KLions $4.7K—
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $2.6K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
—Eagles $3.4KEagles $477—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $924Over $567—
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Saints $16Saints $1.4K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $14—