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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cqsBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)66% (151–77, n=228)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$309K$10.6M$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)72% (79 of 110 open)0% (0 of 4 open)59% (91 of 154 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won69% of 342 at avg 64¢, ROI +5%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 8% of 71)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 47% of 36)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 69% of 45)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 96% of 190)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcqsBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $297K—Steelers $1.9K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255K—Steelers $6.0K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $22KNo $184K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15KYes $77K——
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59K—Cowboys $12K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $710No $35K——
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17K—Jets $423
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6K—Buccaneers $2.7K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cowboys $1.4K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378K—Bills $22K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104K—Raiders $4.3K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Bills $18K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51K—Magic $228
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24K—Raiders $2.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20K—Jaguars $1.1K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13K—Magic $161