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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
e46m3ndb1pleaseletmealone
Record (consensus markets)17% (155–762, n=917)52% (102–94, n=196)no settled market
Consensus PnL$536K$2.7M$1.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #111PM monthly #432
Sides with the consensus73% (319 of 435 open)74% (66 of 89 open)79% (147 of 186 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topicTech ±0 pts, n=36——
Settled positions, side won93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%——
Entries under 30¢7% (won 11% of 46)——
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 86% of 7)——
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 75% of 8)——
Entries 70¢ and up90% (won 100% of 565)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markete46m3ndb1pleaseletmealone
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $108Yes $12KYes $234
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $11No $350K—
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20Yes $121—
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $12No $38—
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5No $15—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23Yes $571—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $9—Yes $527
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6—Yes $314
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4—Yes $230
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5—Yes $211
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10—Yes $196
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $130
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $94—Yes $30
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
Yes $20—Yes $35
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22—Yes $21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18—Yes $10
Will Colorado Avalanche be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $22—
Will Backrooms be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
Yes $9—Yes $3
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $7—
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5—Yes $5
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6—Yes $4
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6—Yes $2
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5—Yes $2
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $2
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $1
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $1