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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBanke46m3ndb1pleaseletmealone
Record (consensus markets)96% (291–13, n=304)17% (155–762, n=917)52% (102–94, n=196)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.4M$536K$2.7M$1.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #111PM monthly #432
Sides with the consensus84% (37 of 44 open)73% (318 of 434 open)74% (66 of 89 open)79% (147 of 186 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Tech ±0 pts, n=36——
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%——
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)7% (won 11% of 46)——
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)1% (won 86% of 7)——
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)1% (won 75% of 8)——
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)90% (won 100% of 565)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

39 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBanke46m3ndb1pleaseletmealone
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306KYes $108Yes $12KYes $234
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $425KYes $11No $350K—
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200Yes $4—Yes $1
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200Yes $3—Yes $1
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $28KYes $108——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15K——Yes $25
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4KYes $318——
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20Yes $121—
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $12No $38—
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $5No $15—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $27KYes $10——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19KYes $369——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $13KYes $12——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.6KYes $512——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8K——Yes $6
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $701——Yes $7
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $695——Yes $5
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $23Yes $571—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $9—Yes $527
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $6—Yes $314
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $273——Yes $4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4—Yes $230
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5—Yes $211
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200——Yes $1
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200——Yes $1
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200——Yes $1
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $187——Yes $1
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $171——Yes $1
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5—Yes $130
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10—Yes $116
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $94—Yes $30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $49Yes $40——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28——Yes $28
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $20—Yes $35
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $42——Yes $4
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22—Yes $21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $18—Yes $10
Will Colorado Avalanche be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4Yes $22—
Will Backrooms be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $9—Yes $3
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4Yes $7—
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5—Yes $5
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6—Yes $4
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6—Yes $2
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5—Yes $2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5—Yes $2
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3—Yes $2