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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ghorrock | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (8616–7070, n=15686) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #509 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (228 of 344 open) | no open consensus position | 88% (130 of 148 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 2127 at avg 72¢, ROI +10% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 85% of 95) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 100% of 373) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 414) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 100% of 1245) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.