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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ghorrockRN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)53% (6237–5548, n=11785)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)62% (393–246, n=639)45% (537–650, n=1187)
Consensus PnL-$15K$13.4M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #509PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus71% (168 of 237 open)62% (16 of 26 open)33% (1 of 3 open)81% (58 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 2068 at avg 72¢, ROI +10%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 87% of 90)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 100% of 369)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 401)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 1208)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketghorrockRN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $5Commanders $433—Commanders $161K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5——No $622K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $42——Yes $83K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $73——Yes $36K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $55——Yes $21K
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $18Commanders $1.4K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $59——Yes $208
Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9Under $99——
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $46——Yes $81K
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $125—Commanders $32K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $225——Yes $22K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $285——Yes $15K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $59——Yes $14K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $26——Yes $2.6K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2——Yes $1.3K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7——Yes $164
Spread: Commanders (-14.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $9Eagles $4——