← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| gopfan2 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (597–471, n=1068) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.7M | $10.6M | $4.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #370 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (40 of 46 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 61% (19 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 1204 at avg 58¢, ROI +13% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 17% of 261) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 75% of 197) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 87% of 219) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 96% of 527) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | gopfan2 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $242 | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $241 | No $88K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $279 | Yes $72K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | — | Ravens $696 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $17K | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.5K | No $35K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.6K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | No $21K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | No $10K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | — | Jets $284 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $2.1K | — | Ravens $376 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $378K | — | Bills $395 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $35K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $171K | — | Raiders $5.8K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8.3K | Yes $38K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $3.9K | No $40K | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $13K | No $24K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | Yes $21K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cardinals $1.1K |