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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lissartter | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (3354–3505, n=6859) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$184K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #320 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (47 of 83 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −10 pts, n=10 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 4775 at avg 65¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 30% of 886) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 74% of 491) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 88% of 730) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 2668) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.