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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mombilRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)59% (1083–758, n=1841)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$504K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #707 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus69% (45 of 65 open)53% (70 of 132 open)72% (75 of 104 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won46% of 2120 at avg 41¢, ROI +2%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢49% (won 10% of 1032)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 52% of 250)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 70% of 255)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 95% of 583)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketmombilRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $19K—Yes $77K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $592—No $88K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.9K—Yes $37K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $28KBills $378K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7.3K—Yes $272K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $994—Yes $28K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $8.1K—No $10K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.4K—Yes $2.2K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $574—Yes $4.6K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $453—Yes $4.7K