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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| segment3 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$64K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #832 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (13 of 17 open) | 58% (85 of 147 open) | 72% (79 of 109 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 14 at avg 82¢, ROI −8% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 50% of 2) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 79% (won 100% of 11) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | segment3 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $1.9K | Browns $297K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $6.0K | Browns $255K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $720 | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | No $35K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | Yes $28K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $109 | Raiders $17K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | — | No $10K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $950 | — | Yes $1.1K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $22K | Bills $378K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $4.3K | Raiders $104K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $18K | Bills $51K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $2.1K | — | No $40K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.7K | Raiders $24K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $20K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K | — |