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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
suntoriBreakTheBanksurfandturf
Record (consensus markets)45% (10674–13008, n=23682)45% (542–652, n=1194)54% (225–189, n=414)
Consensus PnL$207K$10.6M$9.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #792PM monthly #1was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus57% (86 of 152 open)90% (146 of 163 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=3302—NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won42% of 10150 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 9% of 3590)10% (won 82% of 56)20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 36% of 2197)36% (won 98% of 198)21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 59% of 2489)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 88% of 1874)19% (won 100% of 107)26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketsuntoriBreakTheBanksurfandturf
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $461No $407K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $215No $253K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $647No $202K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $77Yes $172K—
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $465No $114K—
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $81—No $2.7K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
No $164No $857K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.5KYes $280K—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $757Yes $274K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $20Yes $85K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $9Yes $29K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $40Yes $22K—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $127Yes $13K—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6Yes $5.5K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10Yes $4.7K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10Yes $4.6K—
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K—Yes $2.3K
Will Republicans win Michigan and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10Yes $8—