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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| suntori | BreakTheBank | surfandturf | pleaseplease123 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10678–13018, n=23696) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 49% (345–353, n=698) |
| Consensus PnL | $208K | $10.6M | $4.1M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #792 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (85 of 160 open) | 88% (145 of 164 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −3 pts, n=3302 | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 10150 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 9% of 3590) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 0% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 36% of 2197) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 38% (won 43% of 266) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 59% of 2489) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 61% (won 54% of 426) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 88% of 1874) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.