← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| themagicofcinema | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (391–158, n=549) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #635 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 67% (8 of 12 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Mentions −6 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 497 at avg 71¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 5% of 97) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 38% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 76% of 45) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 98% of 326) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | themagicofcinema | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $44K | Eagles $1.3K |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $2.1K | — | Eagles $858 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $664 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $1.5K | — | Eagles $3 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $23 | — | Eagles $412 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $378 | — | Under $41 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $27K | Commanders $1.1M | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $10 | — | No $26K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | — | Yes $15K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $60 | — | Yes $10K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45 | — | Yes $9.3K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | Yes $6.4K | — |