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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
wokerjoesleeperRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)34% (775–1514, n=2289)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)45% (537–650, n=1187)
Consensus PnL$605K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus63% (120 of 192 open)46% (6 of 13 open)85% (53 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won96% of 12948 at avg 89¢, ROI +5%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 40% of 654)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 80% of 327)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 88% of 456)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up89% (won 99% of 11511)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketwokerjoesleeperRN1BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $114K—No $202K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $228—Yes $274K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $534—No $250K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15—Yes $36K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $18—No $26K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $22—Yes $22K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $24—Yes $2.6K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $24—Yes $296
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $28KCommanders $1.1M
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.1K—Yes $170K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $135—No $34K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7—Yes $15K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51—Yes $14K