Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Chun-Hsin Tseng — but Carl Overbeck won instead.
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Chun-Hsin Tseng
Resolved Carl Overbeck. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Chun-Hsin Tseng. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
27
Chun-Hsin Tseng 58%
$14.8K
$-12.5K
Smart Money Signal
15 of 27 top traders (56%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1CTR | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 49.1¢ | $43.3K | — | $-43.3K | 53% 59264-51568 (110832) |
MA MadridTime | Carl Overbeckavg 64.1¢ | $3.6K | $5.4K | +$1.8K | 51% 1009-957 (1966) |
BA BABELCONSTEL | Carl Overbeckavg 95.3¢ | $3.3K | $3.5K | +$162.52 | 67% 626-302 (928) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Carl Overbeckavg 77.9¢ | $945.3 | $1.2K | +$268.4 | 50% 20329-20686 (41015) |
LI Limousin | Carl Overbeckavg 70.2¢ | $1.3K | $1.2K | -$177.26 | 54% 1108-926 (2034) |
VE Venusian | Carl Overbeckavg 94.7¢ | $1.3K | $1.1K | -$200.48 | 52% 1078-991 (2069) |
LI LightParadox | Carl Overbeckavg 72.5¢ | $794.7 | $800.03 | +$5.32 | 53% 1067-963 (2030) |
1L 1lovejump | Carl Overbeckavg 64¢ | $1.4K | $745.7 | +$227.6 | 52% 725-666 (1391) |
EU Eulhunter | Carl Overbeckavg 86.3¢ | $614.04 | $582.99 | -$41.04 | 54% 6095-5098 (11193) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 40.5¢ | $1.8K | — | $-1.8K | 51% 23562-22316 (45878) |
SE sentrioCTR | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 49.3¢ | $2.0K | — | $-2.0K | 50% 25310-25028 (50338) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Carl Overbeckavg 65.3¢ | $300.06 | $265.54 | -$34.52 | 52% 14180-12945 (27125) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 32.6¢ | $4.8K | — | $-2.7K | 47% 14510-16080 (30590) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Carl Overbeckavg 32¢ | $18.86 | $58.94 | +$40.08 | 58% 44835-32630 (77465) |
LI Lilybaeum<$100 | Carl Overbeckavg 34¢ | $15.8 | $46.45 | +$30.65 | 61% 13978-9022 (23000) |
TH thestingsnakeCTR | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 48¢ | $928.81 | — | +$90.14 | 60% 4268-2853 (7121) |
0X 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CTR | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 47.7¢ | $12.0K | — | $-12.0K | 54% 496-420 (916) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100 | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 81¢ | $8.33 | — | -$8.33 | 82% 6885-1485 (8370) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 13.7¢ | $141.38 | — | -$141.38 | 47% 10754-12083 (22837) |
 poshposhCTR | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 34.6¢ | $259.5 | — | -$259.5 | 57% 12035-9120 (21155) |
DI dips.CTR<$100 | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 4.1¢ | $21.11 | — | -$21.11 | 47% 10208-11560 (21768) |
 latvian.demonCTR | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 57.2¢ | $286.15 | — | -$286.15 | 54% 757-638 (1395) |
 tradecraftCTR<$100 | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 2.1¢ | $9.72 | — | -$9.72 | 51% 6251-6010 (12261) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 9.4¢ | $18.49 | — | -$18.49 | 46% 1354-1573 (2927) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Chun-Hsin Tsengavg 4¢ | $3.52 | — | -$3.52 | 47% 9113-10236 (19349) |
RN1CTRInvested
$43,290.77
Value
—
PnL
$-43.3K
Record
53%
59264-51568 (110832)
Invested
$3,606.84
Value
$5.4K
PnL
+$1.8K
Record
51%
1009-957 (1966)
Invested
$3,301.11
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$162.52
Record
67%
626-302 (928)
Invested
$945.3
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$268.4
Record
50%
20329-20686 (41015)
Invested
$1,330.01
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$177.26
Record
54%
1108-926 (2034)
Invested
$1,331.62
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$200.48
Record
52%
1078-991 (2069)
Invested
$794.7
Value
$800.03
PnL
+$5.32
Record
53%
1067-963 (2030)
Invested
$1,428.39
Value
$745.7
PnL
+$227.6
Record
52%
725-666 (1391)
Invested
$614.04
Value
$582.99
PnL
-$41.04
Record
54%
6095-5098 (11193)
Invested
$1,838.26
Value
—
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
51%
23562-22316 (45878)
Invested
$2,017.11
Value
—
PnL
$-2.0K
Record
50%
25310-25028 (50338)
Invested
$300.06
Value
$265.54
PnL
-$34.52
Record
52%
14180-12945 (27125)
Invested
$4,754.99
Value
—
PnL
$-2.7K
Record
47%
14510-16080 (30590)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$18.86
Value
$58.94
PnL
+$40.08
Record
58%
44835-32630 (77465)
Invested
$15.8
Value
$46.45
PnL
+$30.65
Record
61%
13978-9022 (23000)
Invested
$928.81
Value
—
PnL
+$90.14
Record
60%
4268-2853 (7121)
Invested
$12,034.72
Value
—
PnL
$-12.0K
Record
54%
496-420 (916)
ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100Invested
$8.33
Value
—
PnL
-$8.33
Record
82%
6885-1485 (8370)
Invested
$141.38
Value
—
PnL
-$141.38
Record
47%
10754-12083 (22837)
poshposhCTRInvested
$259.5
Value
—
PnL
-$259.5
Record
57%
12035-9120 (21155)
Invested
$21.11
Value
—
PnL
-$21.11
Record
47%
10208-11560 (21768)
latvian.demonCTRInvested
$286.15
Value
—
PnL
-$286.15
Record
54%
757-638 (1395)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$9.72
Value
—
PnL
-$9.72
Record
51%
6251-6010 (12261)
Invested
$18.49
Value
—
PnL
-$18.49
Record
46%
1354-1573 (2927)
Invested
$3.52
Value
—
PnL
-$3.52
Record
47%
9113-10236 (19349)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
CTRChun-Hsin Tseng — $0
MadridTime
Carl Overbeck — $5.4K
BABELCONSTEL
Carl Overbeck — $3.5K
omnibus-076daa
Carl Overbeck — $1.2K
Limousin
Carl Overbeck — $1.2K
Venusian
Carl Overbeck — $1.1K
LightParadox
Carl Overbeck — $800.03
1lovejump
Carl Overbeck — $745.7
Eulhunter
Carl Overbeck — $582.99
Flaznorp
CTRChun-Hsin Tseng — $0