Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 52%
$2.8K
-$227.6
Smart Money Signal
11 of 21 top traders (52%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.4¢ | $796.96 | $810.28 | +$13.32 | 93% 24319-1811 (26130) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 90.1¢ | $845.11 | $648.66 | -$196.45 | 56% 14924-11728 (26652) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 74.8¢ | $505.72 | $502.88 | -$2.84 | 67% 99930-48308 (148238) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 70.4¢ | $415.9 | $435.48 | +$39.17 | 64% 58907-33468 (92375) |
RL RLWG | Downavg 68.5¢ | $134.13 | $195.87 | +$61.74 | 50% 7981-8012 (15993) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.3¢ | $71.23 | — | -$71.23 | 57% 6774-5010 (11784) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 45.6¢ | $51.05 | — | -$51.05 | 56% 8353-6485 (14838) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $55.04 | $64 | +$8.96 | 64% 40639-23326 (63965) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 60.3¢ | $43.81 | $47.82 | +$7.03 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 84.2¢ | $48.2 | $54.83 | +$6.63 | 66% 127109-65406 (192515) |
GO GoodRecipient<$100 | Downavg 45.8¢ | $21.12 | $31.72 | +$10.6 | 43% 656-861 (1517) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $21.32 | — | -$21.32 | 58% 38498-27579 (66077) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51.7¢ | $23.07 | $44.65 | +$21.58 | 58% 51349-37471 (88820) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 45.3¢ | $28.55 | — | -$28.55 | 55% 18379-14972 (33351) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.8¢ | $13.45 | — | -$13.45 | 62% 44284-27268 (71552) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $4.45 | $5 | +$0.55 | 56% 58635-45291 (103926) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Upavg 40.8¢ | $4.6 | — | -$4.6 | 65% 4332-2383 (6715) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.8¢ | $4.05 | — | -$4.05 | 52% 91321-85769 (177090) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 61% 96050-60547 (156597) |
AS asabovesobelow2CTR<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 68% 1708-799 (2507) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 65% 112572-59423 (171995) |
Invested
$796.96
Value
$810.28
PnL
+$13.32
Record
93%
24319-1811 (26130)
Invested
$845.11
Value
$648.66
PnL
-$196.45
Record
56%
14924-11728 (26652)
Invested
$505.72
Value
$502.88
PnL
-$2.84
Record
67%
99930-48308 (148238)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$415.9
Value
$435.48
PnL
+$39.17
Record
64%
58907-33468 (92375)
Invested
$134.13
Value
$195.87
PnL
+$61.74
Record
50%
7981-8012 (15993)
Invested
$71.23
Value
—
PnL
-$71.23
Record
57%
6774-5010 (11784)
Invested
$51.05
Value
—
PnL
-$51.05
Record
56%
8353-6485 (14838)
ohioism<$100Invested
$55.04
Value
$64
PnL
+$8.96
Record
64%
40639-23326 (63965)
Invested
$43.81
Value
$47.82
PnL
+$7.03
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
Invested
$48.2
Value
$54.83
PnL
+$6.63
Record
66%
127109-65406 (192515)
Invested
$21.12
Value
$31.72
PnL
+$10.6
Record
43%
656-861 (1517)
Invested
$21.32
Value
—
PnL
-$21.32
Record
58%
38498-27579 (66077)
Invested
$23.07
Value
$44.65
PnL
+$21.58
Record
58%
51349-37471 (88820)
Invested
$28.55
Value
—
PnL
-$28.55
Record
55%
18379-14972 (33351)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$13.45
Value
—
PnL
-$13.45
Record
62%
44284-27268 (71552)
Invested
$4.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.55
Record
56%
58635-45291 (103926)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$4.6
Record
65%
4332-2383 (6715)
Invested
$4.05
Value
—
PnL
-$4.05
Record
52%
91321-85769 (177090)
Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
61%
96050-60547 (156597)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
68%
1708-799 (2507)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
65%
112572-59423 (171995)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $810.28
CrouchPredictions
Down — $648.66
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $502.88
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $435.48
RLWG
Down — $195.87
peepeepoopoo24
CTRUp — $0
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
Down — $64
aaa221
Down — $47.82
asdaefef
Down — $54.83