Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 62%
$2.0K
-$574.28
Smart Money Signal
13 of 23 top traders (57%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Upavg 33.1¢ | $608.22 | — | -$608.22 | 56% 14912-11721 (26633) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 64.1¢ | $382.17 | $418.48 | +$36.3 | 55% 8959-7393 (16352) |
AN antsaslyku | Downavg 38.5¢ | $162.08 | $420.52 | +$258.44 | 65% 112557-59402 (171959) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 59¢ | $264.14 | $308.58 | +$44.45 | 50% 5579-5642 (11221) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 67.7¢ | $215.72 | $192 | -$23.72 | 54% 8332-7022 (15354) |
13 13897651CTR | Upavg 47.3¢ | $148.11 | — | -$148.11 | 59% 7083-4987 (12070) |
AL almach | Downavg 81.2¢ | $144.12 | $171.8 | +$27.67 | 55% 48790-40333 (89123) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 91.5¢ | $138 | $150.79 | +$12.79 | 74% 103036-36547 (139583) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $93.11 | $78.19 | -$14.93 | 64% 58895-33457 (92352) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $61.2 | — | -$61.2 | 56% 8338-6477 (14815) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $36.58 | $52.24 | +$15.66 | 66% 127086-65386 (192472) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 68.2¢ | $35.6 | $52.2 | +$16.6 | 52% 91299-85747 (177046) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 69.5¢ | $36.19 | $52.1 | +$15.91 | 61% 96025-60531 (156556) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $50.39 | $40 | -$10.39 | 62% 44272-27256 (71528) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $38.4 | $40 | +$1.6 | 58% 61075-44602 (105677) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 55.1¢ | $38.48 | $33.74 | +$2.51 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Upavg 48.6¢ | $26.56 | — | -$26.56 | 64% 4319-2379 (6698) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $64.52 | — | -$64.52 | 46% 38661-45750 (84411) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.4¢ | $36.88 | — | -$36.88 | 49% 78491-82056 (160547) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $2.9 | — | -$2.9 | 65% 126430-67579 (194009) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 56.3¢ | $8.8 | — | -$8.8 | 55% 18359-14947 (33306) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20368-19455 (39823) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3698-2861 (6559) |
Invested
$608.22
Value
—
PnL
-$608.22
Record
56%
14912-11721 (26633)
machinelearnedInvested
$382.17
Value
$418.48
PnL
+$36.3
Record
55%
8959-7393 (16352)
Invested
$162.08
Value
$420.52
PnL
+$258.44
Record
65%
112557-59402 (171959)
Invested
$264.14
Value
$308.58
PnL
+$44.45
Record
50%
5579-5642 (11221)
Invested
$215.72
Value
$192
PnL
-$23.72
Record
54%
8332-7022 (15354)
Invested
$148.11
Value
—
PnL
-$148.11
Record
59%
7083-4987 (12070)
Invested
$144.12
Value
$171.8
PnL
+$27.67
Record
55%
48790-40333 (89123)
BoneOhioInvested
$138
Value
$150.79
PnL
+$12.79
Record
74%
103036-36547 (139583)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$93.11
Value
$78.19
PnL
-$14.93
Record
64%
58895-33457 (92352)
Invested
$61.2
Value
—
PnL
-$61.2
Record
56%
8338-6477 (14815)
Invested
$36.58
Value
$52.24
PnL
+$15.66
Record
66%
127086-65386 (192472)
Invested
$35.6
Value
$52.2
PnL
+$16.6
Record
52%
91299-85747 (177046)
Invested
$36.19
Value
$52.1
PnL
+$15.91
Record
61%
96025-60531 (156556)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$50.39
Value
$40
PnL
-$10.39
Record
62%
44272-27256 (71528)
Invested
$38.4
Value
$40
PnL
+$1.6
Record
58%
61075-44602 (105677)
Invested
$38.48
Value
$33.74
PnL
+$2.51
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$26.56
Value
—
PnL
-$26.56
Record
64%
4319-2379 (6698)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$64.52
Value
—
PnL
-$64.52
Record
46%
38661-45750 (84411)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$36.88
Value
—
PnL
-$36.88
Record
49%
78491-82056 (160547)
Invested
$2.9
Value
—
PnL
-$2.9
Record
65%
126430-67579 (194009)
Invested
$8.8
Value
—
PnL
-$8.8
Record
55%
18359-14947 (33306)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20368-19455 (39823)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3698-2861 (6559)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
CTRUp — $0
machinelearned
Down — $418.48
antsaslyku
Down — $420.52
ply-pm0
Down — $308.58
sfkjbsr457
Down — $192
13897651
CTRUp — $0
almach
Down — $171.8
BoneOhio
Down — $150.79
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $78.19
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0