Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 73%
$817.38
$106.22
Smart Money Signal
16 of 21 top traders (76%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $200.21 | $228.18 | +$27.96 | 50% 5595-5654 (11249) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 73¢ | $83.7 | $114.61 | +$30.91 | 60% 12590-8362 (20952) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 65.8¢ | $73.73 | $100.53 | +$26.8 | 55% 8975-7405 (16380) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $45 | $90 | +$45 | 58% 51351-37477 (88828) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $51.48 | $52 | +$0.52 | 52% 91337-85780 (177117) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $40.37 | $50.09 | +$12.72 | 64% 24910-13769 (38679) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 83.9¢ | $40.72 | $48.54 | +$7.82 | 62% 44295-27280 (71575) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87.9¢ | $40.35 | $45.89 | +$5.54 | 66% 127130-65419 (192549) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $27.35 | $41.44 | +$14.09 | 58% 38519-27590 (66109) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 79.6¢ | $44.25 | $35 | -$9.25 | 56% 58651-45296 (103947) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $9.11 | $11.11 | +$2 | 55% 24186-19512 (43698) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.9¢ | $16.59 | — | -$16.59 | 55% 7798-6379 (14177) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 7.3¢ | $9.51 | — | -$9.51 | 46% 38690-45787 (84477) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.9¢ | $23.88 | — | -$23.88 | 65% 112580-59438 (172018) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 26.3¢ | $7.9 | — | -$7.9 | 58% 61097-44619 (105716) |
CR CrouchPredictions<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14935-11735 (26670) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3699-2861 (6560) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 49.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 8368-6491 (14859) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 84.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4342-2386 (6728) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 84.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 126470-67602 (194072) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20379-19466 (39845) |
Invested
$200.21
Value
$228.18
PnL
+$27.96
Record
50%
5595-5654 (11249)
Invested
$83.7
Value
$114.61
PnL
+$30.91
Record
60%
12590-8362 (20952)
machinelearnedInvested
$73.73
Value
$100.53
PnL
+$26.8
Record
55%
8975-7405 (16380)
Invested
$45
Value
$90
PnL
+$45
Record
58%
51351-37477 (88828)
Invested
$51.48
Value
$52
PnL
+$0.52
Record
52%
91337-85780 (177117)
Invested
$40.37
Value
$50.09
PnL
+$12.72
Record
64%
24910-13769 (38679)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$40.72
Value
$48.54
PnL
+$7.82
Record
62%
44295-27280 (71575)
Invested
$40.35
Value
$45.89
PnL
+$5.54
Record
66%
127130-65419 (192549)
Invested
$27.35
Value
$41.44
PnL
+$14.09
Record
58%
38519-27590 (66109)
Invested
$44.25
Value
$35
PnL
-$9.25
Record
56%
58651-45296 (103947)
Invested
$9.11
Value
$11.11
PnL
+$2
Record
55%
24186-19512 (43698)
Invested
$16.59
Value
—
PnL
-$16.59
Record
55%
7798-6379 (14177)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$9.51
Value
—
PnL
-$9.51
Record
46%
38690-45787 (84477)
Invested
$23.88
Value
—
PnL
-$23.88
Record
65%
112580-59438 (172018)
Invested
$7.9
Value
—
PnL
-$7.9
Record
58%
61097-44619 (105716)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14935-11735 (26670)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3699-2861 (6560)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8368-6491 (14859)
Atomforge<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4342-2386 (6728)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
126470-67602 (194072)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20379-19466 (39845)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm0
Up — $228.18
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $114.61
machinelearned
Up — $100.53
PBot-6
Up — $90
dvasdkasodk
Up — $52
aaa221
Up — $50.09
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $48.54
asdaefef
Up — $45.89
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $41.44
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $35