Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 86%
$799.87
$125.98
Smart Money Signal
19 of 21 top traders (90%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 73.4¢ | $220.06 | $260.04 | +$39.98 | 50% 5595-5654 (11249) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 64.9¢ | $116.15 | $153.47 | +$37.32 | 55% 7798-6379 (14177) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Upavg 72.7¢ | $79.37 | $87.88 | +$8.52 | 55% 8975-7405 (16380) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $59.95 | $83.27 | +$23.57 | 60% 12590-8362 (20952) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 64.6¢ | $36.45 | $56.46 | +$20.01 | 64% 24910-13769 (38679) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 88.5¢ | $48.91 | $55.29 | +$6.38 | 66% 127130-65419 (192549) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 92.1¢ | $46.5 | $50.47 | +$3.97 | 61% 96070-60558 (156628) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $23.5 | $25 | +$1.5 | 62% 44295-27280 (71575) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $7.5 | $10 | +$2.5 | 56% 58651-45296 (103947) |
PA Parad0X<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $4.48 | $8 | +$3.52 | 56% 2307-1797 (4104) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 5.8¢ | $8.67 | — | -$8.67 | 46% 38690-45787 (84477) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.9¢ | $15.41 | — | -$15.41 | 65% 112580-59438 (172018) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $3.35 | $5 | +$1.65 | 64% 40650-23332 (63982) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $3.85 | $5 | +$1.15 | 55% 18397-14984 (33381) |
CR CrouchPredictions<$100 | Upavg 82.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14935-11735 (26670) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3699-2861 (6560) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 50.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 8368-6491 (14859) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4342-2386 (6728) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | — | — | +$0 | 74% 103056-36555 (139611) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 126470-67602 (194072) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20379-19466 (39845) |
Invested
$220.06
Value
$260.04
PnL
+$39.98
Record
50%
5595-5654 (11249)
Invested
$116.15
Value
$153.47
PnL
+$37.32
Record
55%
7798-6379 (14177)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$79.37
Value
$87.88
PnL
+$8.52
Record
55%
8975-7405 (16380)
Invested
$59.95
Value
$83.27
PnL
+$23.57
Record
60%
12590-8362 (20952)
Invested
$36.45
Value
$56.46
PnL
+$20.01
Record
64%
24910-13769 (38679)
Invested
$48.91
Value
$55.29
PnL
+$6.38
Record
66%
127130-65419 (192549)
Invested
$46.5
Value
$50.47
PnL
+$3.97
Record
61%
96070-60558 (156628)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$23.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.5
Record
62%
44295-27280 (71575)
Invested
$7.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.5
Record
56%
58651-45296 (103947)
Invested
$4.48
Value
$8
PnL
+$3.52
Record
56%
2307-1797 (4104)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$8.67
Value
—
PnL
-$8.67
Record
46%
38690-45787 (84477)
Invested
$15.41
Value
—
PnL
-$15.41
Record
65%
112580-59438 (172018)
ohioism<$100Invested
$3.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.65
Record
64%
40650-23332 (63982)
Invested
$3.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.15
Record
55%
18397-14984 (33381)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14935-11735 (26670)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3699-2861 (6560)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8368-6491 (14859)
Atomforge<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4342-2386 (6728)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
74%
103056-36555 (139611)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
126470-67602 (194072)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20379-19466 (39845)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm0
Up — $260.04
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $153.47
machinelearned
Up — $87.88
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $83.27
aaa221
Up — $56.46
asdaefef
Up — $55.29
asidjasiodja
Up — $50.47
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $25
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $10
Parad0X
Up — $8