Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 83%
$2.5K
$232.71
Smart Money Signal
18 of 22 top traders (82%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 71.8¢ | $708.26 | $742.26 | +$33.99 | 50% 5595-5654 (11249) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 64.6¢ | $384.51 | $595.23 | +$210.72 | 58% 38519-27590 (66109) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 44.1¢ | $234.97 | $311.28 | +$76.31 | 55% 7798-6379 (14177) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 86.8¢ | $252.16 | $224.62 | -$24.94 | 60% 12590-8362 (20952) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 68.8¢ | $209.85 | $179.36 | -$30.49 | 55% 8975-7405 (16380) |
 ohioism | Upavg 75.5¢ | $121.91 | $161.39 | +$39.48 | 64% 40650-23332 (63982) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 61.6¢ | $54.62 | $56.99 | +$15.38 | 64% 24910-13769 (38679) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $38.5 | $50 | +$11.5 | 56% 58651-45296 (103947) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 72.2¢ | $24.76 | $34.29 | +$9.53 | 66% 127130-65419 (192549) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.5¢ | $57.76 | — | -$57.76 | 65% 112580-59438 (172018) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 68.1¢ | $17.02 | $25 | +$7.98 | 62% 44295-27280 (71575) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $20.4 | $20 | -$0.4 | 55% 24186-19512 (43698) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 79.2¢ | $15.92 | $20.09 | +$4.17 | 61% 96070-60558 (156628) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 47.5¢ | $9.5 | $20 | +$10.5 | 58% 51351-37477 (88828) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $13.85 | $10 | -$3.85 | 58% 61097-44619 (105716) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $3.75 | $5.07 | +$1.32 | 55% 18397-14984 (33381) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 25.6¢ | $52.11 | — | -$52.11 | 46% 38690-45787 (84477) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $18.62 | — | -$18.62 | 35% 19127-36144 (55271) |
CR CrouchPredictions<$100 | Upavg 75.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14935-11735 (26670) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3699-2861 (6560) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 42.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 8368-6491 (14859) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 93.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4342-2386 (6728) |
Invested
$708.26
Value
$742.26
PnL
+$33.99
Record
50%
5595-5654 (11249)
Invested
$384.51
Value
$595.23
PnL
+$210.72
Record
58%
38519-27590 (66109)
Invested
$234.97
Value
$311.28
PnL
+$76.31
Record
55%
7798-6379 (14177)
Invested
$252.16
Value
$224.62
PnL
-$24.94
Record
60%
12590-8362 (20952)
machinelearnedInvested
$209.85
Value
$179.36
PnL
-$30.49
Record
55%
8975-7405 (16380)
ohioismInvested
$121.91
Value
$161.39
PnL
+$39.48
Record
64%
40650-23332 (63982)
Invested
$54.62
Value
$56.99
PnL
+$15.38
Record
64%
24910-13769 (38679)
Invested
$38.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$11.5
Record
56%
58651-45296 (103947)
Invested
$24.76
Value
$34.29
PnL
+$9.53
Record
66%
127130-65419 (192549)
Invested
$57.76
Value
—
PnL
-$57.76
Record
65%
112580-59438 (172018)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$17.02
Value
$25
PnL
+$7.98
Record
62%
44295-27280 (71575)
Invested
$20.4
Value
$20
PnL
-$0.4
Record
55%
24186-19512 (43698)
Invested
$15.92
Value
$20.09
PnL
+$4.17
Record
61%
96070-60558 (156628)
Invested
$9.5
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.5
Record
58%
51351-37477 (88828)
Invested
$13.85
Value
$10
PnL
-$3.85
Record
58%
61097-44619 (105716)
Invested
$3.75
Value
$5.07
PnL
+$1.32
Record
55%
18397-14984 (33381)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$52.11
Value
—
PnL
-$52.11
Record
46%
38690-45787 (84477)
Invested
$18.62
Value
—
PnL
-$18.62
Record
35%
19127-36144 (55271)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14935-11735 (26670)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3699-2861 (6560)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8368-6491 (14859)
Atomforge<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4342-2386 (6728)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm0
Up — $742.26
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $595.23
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $311.28
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $224.62
machinelearned
Up — $179.36
ohioism
Up — $161.39
aaa221
Up — $56.99
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $50
asdaefef
Up — $34.29
antsaslyku
CTRDown — $0