Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 75%
$1.6K
$124.81
Smart Money Signal
16 of 20 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 65.4¢ | $377.89 | $370.36 | -$7.52 | 50% 5595-5654 (11249) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 67.6¢ | $302.84 | $364.35 | +$61.51 | 55% 15793-13173 (28966) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 62.4¢ | $204.79 | $326.46 | +$121.68 | 55% 8975-7405 (16380) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 65.3¢ | $110.48 | $157.18 | +$46.7 | 55% 7798-6379 (14177) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 57.8¢ | $101.64 | $100 | -$1.64 | 56% 14039-11169 (25208) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 66¢ | $102.95 | $88 | -$14.95 | 60% 12590-8362 (20952) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $39 | $60 | +$21 | 55% 24186-19512 (43698) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 77.4¢ | $44.51 | $50.25 | +$12.54 | 64% 24910-13769 (38679) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $91.03 | — | -$91.03 | 56% 12755-9823 (22578) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 65.5¢ | $14 | $21.39 | +$7.39 | 55% 18397-14984 (33381) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $6.6 | $10 | +$3.4 | 64% 40650-23332 (63982) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 40.5¢ | $20.2 | — | -$20.2 | 56% 58651-45296 (103947) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $4.89 | $5 | +$0.11 | 62% 44295-27280 (71575) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $4.25 | $5 | +$0.75 | 58% 61097-44619 (105716) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 8.5¢ | $9.91 | — | -$9.91 | 46% 38690-45787 (84477) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 65% 112580-59438 (172018) |
CR CrouchPredictions<$100 | Upavg 52.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14935-11735 (26670) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3699-2861 (6560) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4342-2386 (6728) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 126470-67602 (194072) |
Invested
$377.89
Value
$370.36
PnL
-$7.52
Record
50%
5595-5654 (11249)
Invested
$302.84
Value
$364.35
PnL
+$61.51
Record
55%
15793-13173 (28966)
machinelearnedInvested
$204.79
Value
$326.46
PnL
+$121.68
Record
55%
8975-7405 (16380)
Invested
$110.48
Value
$157.18
PnL
+$46.7
Record
55%
7798-6379 (14177)
Invested
$101.64
Value
$100
PnL
-$1.64
Record
56%
14039-11169 (25208)
Invested
$102.95
Value
$88
PnL
-$14.95
Record
60%
12590-8362 (20952)
Invested
$39
Value
$60
PnL
+$21
Record
55%
24186-19512 (43698)
Invested
$44.51
Value
$50.25
PnL
+$12.54
Record
64%
24910-13769 (38679)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$91.03
Value
—
PnL
-$91.03
Record
56%
12755-9823 (22578)
Invested
$14
Value
$21.39
PnL
+$7.39
Record
55%
18397-14984 (33381)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.4
Record
64%
40650-23332 (63982)
Invested
$20.2
Value
—
PnL
-$20.2
Record
56%
58651-45296 (103947)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.89
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.11
Record
62%
44295-27280 (71575)
Invested
$4.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.75
Record
58%
61097-44619 (105716)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$9.91
Value
—
PnL
-$9.91
Record
46%
38690-45787 (84477)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
65%
112580-59438 (172018)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14935-11735 (26670)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3699-2861 (6560)
Atomforge<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4342-2386 (6728)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
126470-67602 (194072)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm0
Up — $370.36
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $364.35
machinelearned
Up — $326.46
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $157.18
GoodFallen
Up — $100
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $88
sir-upalot
Up — $60
aaa221
Up — $50.25
FairValueMachine
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $21.39