Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 59%
$1.4K
-$259.41
Smart Money Signal
12 of 23 top traders (52%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 40.9¢ | $277.23 | $382.85 | +$105.61 | 55% 15793-13173 (28966) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 40.4¢ | $175.65 | $275.75 | +$100.1 | 56% 14039-11169 (25208) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 59.4¢ | $188.05 | $259.67 | +$71.61 | 56% 12755-9823 (22578) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 65.2¢ | $227.49 | $244.56 | +$19.67 | 60% 12590-8362 (20952) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Downavg 60.1¢ | $201.3 | — | -$201.3 | 50% 5595-5654 (11249) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Upavg 27.2¢ | $42.59 | $94.1 | +$51.51 | 55% 8975-7405 (16380) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR | Downavg 57.9¢ | $145.21 | — | -$145.21 | 55% 7798-6379 (14177) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 57.7¢ | $38.26 | $55.25 | +$22.01 | 64% 24910-13769 (38679) |
AN antsaslykuCTR | Downavg 32.3¢ | $104.44 | — | -$104.44 | 65% 112580-59438 (172018) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 37.2¢ | $10.1 | $27.12 | +$17.02 | 55% 18397-14984 (33381) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $18.75 | $25 | +$6.25 | 58% 61097-44619 (105716) |
LI Little-bigCTR | Downavg 66.1¢ | $165.84 | — | -$165.84 | 35% 19127-36144 (55271) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $1.6 | $5 | +$3.4 | 62% 44295-27280 (71575) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $3.19 | $4.99 | +$1.8 | 52% 91337-85780 (177117) |
 NIULAI4CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 76% 9516-2949 (12465) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 38.7¢ | $33.73 | — | -$33.73 | 46% 38690-45787 (84477) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.5¢ | $4.85 | — | -$4.85 | 64% 40650-23332 (63982) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR<$100 | Downavg 50.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14935-11735 (26670) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3699-2861 (6560) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 62683-43765 (106448) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 66.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 8368-6491 (14859) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4342-2386 (6728) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 126470-67602 (194072) |
Invested
$277.23
Value
$382.85
PnL
+$105.61
Record
55%
15793-13173 (28966)
Invested
$175.65
Value
$275.75
PnL
+$100.1
Record
56%
14039-11169 (25208)
FairValueMachineInvested
$188.05
Value
$259.67
PnL
+$71.61
Record
56%
12755-9823 (22578)
Invested
$227.49
Value
$244.56
PnL
+$19.67
Record
60%
12590-8362 (20952)
Invested
$201.3
Value
—
PnL
-$201.3
Record
50%
5595-5654 (11249)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$42.59
Value
$94.1
PnL
+$51.51
Record
55%
8975-7405 (16380)
Invested
$145.21
Value
—
PnL
-$145.21
Record
55%
7798-6379 (14177)
Invested
$38.26
Value
$55.25
PnL
+$22.01
Record
64%
24910-13769 (38679)
Invested
$104.44
Value
—
PnL
-$104.44
Record
65%
112580-59438 (172018)
Invested
$10.1
Value
$27.12
PnL
+$17.02
Record
55%
18397-14984 (33381)
Invested
$18.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$6.25
Record
58%
61097-44619 (105716)
Invested
$165.84
Value
—
PnL
-$165.84
Record
35%
19127-36144 (55271)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.4
Record
62%
44295-27280 (71575)
Invested
$3.19
Value
$4.99
PnL
+$1.8
Record
52%
91337-85780 (177117)
NIULAI4CTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
76%
9516-2949 (12465)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$33.73
Value
—
PnL
-$33.73
Record
46%
38690-45787 (84477)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
—
PnL
-$4.85
Record
64%
40650-23332 (63982)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14935-11735 (26670)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3699-2861 (6560)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
62683-43765 (106448)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8368-6491 (14859)
Atomforge<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4342-2386 (6728)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
126470-67602 (194072)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $382.85
GoodFallen
Up — $275.75
FairValueMachine
Up — $259.67
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $244.56
ply-pm0
CTRDown — $0
machinelearned
Up — $94.1
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $55.25
antsaslyku
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $27.12