Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (6526–6120, n=12646)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)
Consensus PnL—$7.7M$1.1M$4.1M
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #71PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position81% (29 of 36 open)75% (90 of 120 open)72% (83 of 115 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——MLB −1 pts, n=747Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10582 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 18% of 1390)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)36% (won 46% of 3763)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 61% of 3662)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)17% (won 86% of 1767)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorp
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KNo $256—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $27KNo $4.7K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $16KYes $4.4K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——T1 $14KBilibili Gaming $273
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.3KNo $4.9K—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $11K—
Penguins vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $23Under $491
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $421KNo $14K—
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $19KHeat $13K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $23KYes $3.2K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $1.0K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.5KYes $411—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3KYes $75—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $413Yes $889—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $80Yes $932—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $21Yes $356—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $132Yes $34—