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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (426–617, n=1043)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$69K$3.6M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #528PM monthly #11PM monthly #96PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (29 of 51 open)72% (138 of 193 open)71% (52 of 73 open)61% (30 of 49 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicWeather −1 pts, n=1141Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won58% of 2156 at avg 58¢, ROI +7%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 2% of 867)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 46% of 48)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 76% of 67)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 99% of 1174)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $13K—Yes $229
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Kilian Feldbausch $191—Sumit Nagal $4.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $600—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: FC UTA Arad 0 - 1 FC Petrolul Ploieşti?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $945—No $212
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $287—Ipek Oz $680
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $347—Under $481
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $422—Under $75
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Aidan Mayo $160—Max Hans Rehberg $232
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—No $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $12K
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $228
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
—Zsombor Piros $420—Zsombor Piros $960
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Under $2
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $533—No $135
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $174—Anastasia Zakharova $314
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $361—Kings $111
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
—Carlo Alberto Caniato $11—Carlo Alberto Caniato $304
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $42
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $87—Under $22