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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMadridTimendb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)49% (952–993, n=1945)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.5M-$1.3K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24PM monthly #598PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensus65% (11 of 17 open)69% (230 of 335 open)48% (72 of 151 open)74% (81 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 100% of 26)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)17% (won 100% of 85)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)19% (won 100% of 94)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)59% (won 100% of 296)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

60 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMadridTimendb1
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4KUnder $49Under $84—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.0KOver $3.5KUnder $25—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.1KNo $2.4KNo $170—
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $22KNo $4.4KNo $4.3K—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161No $2.7KNo $942—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $19KNo $67—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $17KOver $94—
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
—AS Omónoia Leukosías $10KNEC $221—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.6KOver $9—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.1KOver $5—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KOver $129—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.7KUnder $3—
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.0KNo $682—
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Sparta Praha
—AC Sparta Praha $1.4KAFC Bournemouth $23—
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique Lyonnais
—Olympique Lyonnais $1.1KReal Sociedad de Fútbol $6—
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AFC Ajax
—AFC Ajax $777FC Midtjylland $3—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $407Over $296—
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $643Lisa Pigato $2—
Spread: AC Milan (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $515AC Milan $19—
FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $448No $47—
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $27No $392—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 3 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2No $405—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $349Ryan Nijboer $10—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $245Under $113—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $278Over $22—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $233Over $67—
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: FC København O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $259Under $26—
Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $198Over $17—
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Utah $211Canadiens $2—
Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lillestrøm SK
—Lillestrøm SK $6FC Viktoria Plzeň $180—
Will Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $120Yes $61—
W35 Orlando, FL: Yara Bartashevich vs Dasha Ivanova
opposite sides · consensus Dasha Ivanova
—Yara Bartashevich $117Dasha Ivanova $7—
Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lillestrøm SK
—Lillestrøm SK $95FC Viktoria Plzeň $12—
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: AC Sparta Praha O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $78Over $9—
Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $66No $20—
Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
—FC Lugano $3FK Kauno Žalgiris $59—
Atalanta BC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $52No $3—
Spread: FC Thun (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Thun
—Heart of Midlothian FC $48FC Thun $7—
FK Crvena zvezda leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5No $49—
Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AFC Bournemouth
—AFC Bournemouth $30AC Sparta Praha $12—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9Under $28—
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 1 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5No $25—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $19Under $4—
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12Over $7—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25KUnder $1.2K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
—Nuno Borges $6.0KNuno Borges $17K—
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.0KNo $8.3K—
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.5KNo $5.3K—
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Brighton & Hove Albion FC
—Brighton & Hove Albion FC $8.3KBrighton & Hove Albion FC $254—
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.2KNo $312—