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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpFakeMadridRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3295, n=7816)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)59% (909–626, n=1535)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M$1.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24Hand-pickedPM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)71% (200 of 281 open)no open consensus position65% (22 of 34 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +8 pts n=260, ROI +4%
  • NFL +24 pts n=17, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=872, ROI +2%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22MLB −1 pts, n=39—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%61% of 1475 at avg 57¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)9% (won 16% of 131)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)28% (won 48% of 417)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 62% of 519)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)28% (won 85% of 408)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpFakeMadridRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Rinky Hijikata $2.9K——Tomas Etcheverry $19K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Philip Henning
—Carlo Alberto Caniato $539—Philip Henning $3.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
—Pia Lovric $21—Oriana Gniewkowska $5
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Sorana Cirstea $28K—Sorana Cirstea $21K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $23K—Anastasia Zakharova $17K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $25KUnder $1.1K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $13KOver $8——
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2K—Yes $5.5K
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $3.6KRider Broncs $175——
Will FC Bunyodkor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.6K—No $768
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Over $1.9K
Will FC Bunyodkor vs. Xorazm Fk Urganch end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $517
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Will Xorazm Fk Urganch win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—Yes $4
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $261—Over $664
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127—Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42