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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677LightParadox
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (979–967, n=1946)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.5M$5.3M-$1.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #730
Sides with the consensus65% (11 of 17 open)69% (232 of 338 open)no open consensus position47% (67 of 142 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 498 at avg 70¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)17% (won 100% of 86)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 100% of 276)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

56 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677LightParadox
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $25KNo $4.4K—No $1.9K
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $106No $921—No $11
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $6.7K——Lorenzo Musetti $10K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $16K—No $18
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
—AS Omónoia Leukosías $10K—NEC $42
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.5K—Over $100
Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $6.4K—AC Milan $109
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4KUnder $49——
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.3K—No $1.7K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.0K—Over $20
Will Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.0K—Yes $6
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2KNo $2.5K——
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.0K—No $138
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Milan
—AC Milan $2.5K—Ferencvárosi TC $2
Will FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.3K—Yes $8
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.0K——Under $3
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.6K—No $5
Will Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $17
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Sparta Praha
—AC Sparta Praha $1.4K—AFC Bournemouth $17
Spread: Atalanta BC (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Qairat FK
—Qairat FK $818—Atalanta BC $38
FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $454—No $353
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $773—Crystal Palace FC $8
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $407—Over $348
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $672—Lisa Pigato $5
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Renata Zarazua $327—Julia Riera $331
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $492—Yes $7
Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Freiburg
—SC Freiburg $449—Trabzonspor $8
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $307—Yes $34
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $325—Over $5
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $261—Over $29
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: FC København O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $259—Under $18
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: AC Sparta Praha O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $78—Over $197
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $221—Yes $43
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $233—Over $21
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $157—No $85
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $238—Under $3
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $206—No $18
Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $198—Over $5
W35 Orlando, FL: Yara Bartashevich vs Dasha Ivanova
opposite sides · consensus Dasha Ivanova
—Yara Bartashevich $117—Dasha Ivanova $8
Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lillestrøm SK
—Lillestrøm SK $92—FC Viktoria Plzeň $3
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $27—Under $41
Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
—FC Lugano $3—FK Kauno Žalgiris $61
Atalanta BC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $52—No $7
Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AFC Bournemouth
—AFC Bournemouth $30—AC Sparta Praha $11
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $19—Under $22
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Inter Club d'Escaldes
—FK Crvena zvezda $10—Inter Club d'Escaldes $29
FK Crvena zvezda leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5—No $25
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9—Under $15
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25KUnder $1.2K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
—Nuno Borges $6.0K—Nuno Borges $13K