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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677Limousin
Record (consensus markets)48% (62–68, n=130)75% (739–246, n=985)no settled market47% (210–236, n=446)
Consensus PnL-$290K$69K—$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #6PM monthly #734
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)66% (69 of 105 open)no open consensus position40% (16 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +55 pts n=42, ROI +54%
  • Soccer +28 pts n=55, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +16 pts n=12, ROI +15%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 123 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)8% (won 0% of 1)9% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)8% (won 0% of 1)46% (won 100% of 56)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)69% (won 67% of 9)7% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)15% (won 100% of 2)38% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677Limousin
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $53K——Alejandro Tabilo $2.4K
Spread: Vietnam (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chinese Taipei
—Chinese Taipei $1.7K—Vietnam $49
Spread: OL Lyonnes (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus OL Lyonnes
—OL Lyonnes $656—Juventus FC $245
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Tiago Pereira
—Kilian Feldbausch $568—Tiago Pereira $136
Will Tigres FC win on 2026-11-11?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $324—Yes $17
Juventus FC vs. OL Lyonnes: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $317—Yes $20
Real Cundinamarca vs. Real Cartagena FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $311—Over $7
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. PSV Eindhoven: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $235—Over $2
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $146—Under $50
Will SK Brann win on 2026-11-11?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $167—No $5
Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 3 OL Lyonnes?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $24—No $27
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Trail Blazers $10—Thunder $13
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $2.8K
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $2.8K—Bucks $4
Will Piratas Veracruz win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $4
Will Broendby IF win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
—No $568—No $3
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Daniel Altmaier
—Buvaysar Gadamauri $441—Buvaysar Gadamauri $97
Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Zsombor Piros $530—Zsombor Piros $2
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $304—Pelicans $167
W35 Heraklion: Anna Petkovic vs Tina Nadine Smith
same side · consensus Tina Nadine Smith
—Anna Petkovic $279—Anna Petkovic $16
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
same side · consensus Liam Draxl
—Petr Nesterov $74—Petr Nesterov $91
Vietnam vs. Chinese Taipei: Chinese Taipei O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $82—Over $3
Hammarby IF vs. Spartak Myjava: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $68—Over $4
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Bulls $3—Bulls $37