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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4RN1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)no settled market47% (13877–15390, n=29267)49% (6363–6538, n=12901)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$14.8M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #71—PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #675
Sides with the consensus77% (17 of 22 open)no open consensus position54% (15 of 28 open)48% (12 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—10% (won 57% of 2538)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—22% (won 94% of 5565)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 99% of 140)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—33% (won 100% of 8250)53% (won 100% of 333)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4RN1youcanbuythisbot
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $374
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.7KUnder $69
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.5KYes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $839
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KOver $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $529Yes $18
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $47
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Antonia Ruzic
Antonia Ruzic $12K—Antonia Ruzic $80K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
Alexandra Shubladze $9.1K—Alexandra Shubladze $38K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13K—Quentin Halys $1.3K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KRayo Vallecano de Madrid $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $360Over $21
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $161Yes $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $20Under $24
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $1
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1