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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465dsoperativegoogleplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (41–47, n=88)no settled market40% (2–3, n=5)67% (355–171, n=526)
Consensus PnL-$411K-$221$391K-$102K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #839PM monthly #17PM monthly #41 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (16 of 29 open)100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 2 open)64% (94 of 146 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%—83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)—0%1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)—19% (won 70% of 10)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)—76% (won 85% of 41)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)—6% (won 100% of 3)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465dsoperativegoogleplayRN1
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Bucks $323—Bucks $28KBucks $1.6K
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $7.5K——Knicks $674
Bucks vs. Knicks
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bucks $806——Knicks $4.0K
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
Kent State $203——Bowling Green $1.7K
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $28——Heat $256
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $9——Heat $205
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $42K——Heat $2.6K
Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski
same side · consensus Marcos Giron
Marcos Giron $21K——Marcos Giron $17K
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $20K——Over $7
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $12K——Bucks $169
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
76ers $4.3K——76ers $1.8K
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $4.4K——Suns $228
Clippers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $990——Suns $3.6K
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $1.9K——Knicks $798
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $172——Under $878
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $135——Under $259