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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | NM-P | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4522–3297, n=7819) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 83% (5378–1108, n=6486) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $3.2M | $47K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #527 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 72% (138 of 193 open) | 66% (131 of 200 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 6% (won 100% of 256) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 859) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 884) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 2087) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
39 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | NM-P | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz | Taylor Fritz $165K | — | Arthur Fils $989 | Taylor Fritz $38K |
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14K | — | No $962 | Yes $10K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | No $1.0K | No $11K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $89K | — | No $5.9K | No $27K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $44K | — | No $7.8K | No $19K |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $304 | — | No $5.8K | No $17K |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | No $2.5K | No $5.9K |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $42 | — | No $3.0K | No $2.3K |
| Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $206 | — | No $2.4K | No $296 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | — | No $66K |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | KKS Lech Poznań $30K | — | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.2K | — | — | Yes $5.9K |
| Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $3.3K |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $169 | Over $4.2K |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $573 | — | No $1.9K | — |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $597 | Yes $1.0K |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $113 | Yes $1.5K |
| Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $500 | Under $999 |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 3 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $94 | Yes $1.3K |
| Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $213 | Yes $1.1K |
| Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $272 | No $421 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 1 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $467 | Yes $29 |
| Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 0 - 0 Jagiellonia Białystok? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $436 | Yes $10 |
| Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $55 | No $354 |
| Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $160 | No $165 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $15 | No $112 |
| Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1 | No $109 |
| AC Milan leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $81 | Yes $8 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $34 | No $33 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $198K | — | — | Yes $12K |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.8K | Yes $20K |
| Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $71 | — | — | No $9.1K |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $5.4K | No $2.4K |
| Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.2K | No $4.9K |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6.3K | — | Over $725 | — |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.3K | No $5.2K |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.9K | Under $3.5K |
| Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.1K | No $1.7K |
| Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $94 | No $3.2K |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.1K | No $1.1K |
| Will RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $353 | No $2.6K |
| Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $442 | Over $2.0K |
| Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $470 | No $1.5K |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 3 Ferencvárosi TC? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $346 | No $1.4K |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $132 | Under $1.6K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $1.3K | No $312 |
| Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $648 | No $581 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $113 | No $1.1K |
| Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $269 | No $667 |
| Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $383 | No $499 |