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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (2610–3503, n=6113) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $92K | $11.0M | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #492 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (29 of 56 open) | 66% (42 of 64 open) | 58% (55 of 95 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions ±0 pts, n=925 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 3253 at avg 37¢, ROI −3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 54% (won 3% of 1749) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 43% of 463) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 61% of 140) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 97% of 901) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.