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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (2151–2335, n=4486) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | $78K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #405 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 29% (39 of 133 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (93 of 150 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 3062 at avg 58¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 39% (won 5% of 1196) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 61% of 23) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 53% of 15) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 98% of 1828) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $300K | — | Steelers $91 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $74 | Yes $274K | — | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $259K | — | Steelers $3.6K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.2K | No $253K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14K | Yes $172K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $105K | — | Jets $257 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $227 | No $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $35K | — | Ravens $761 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $32K | — | Cowboys $21 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $476 | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4 | Yes $21K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | — | Buccaneers $1.6K |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $59 | — | — | Yes $7.4K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $2.7K | — | Cowboys $605 |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $72 | — | — | Yes $52 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.3K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.9K | Yes $85K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19 | Yes $17K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $11 | No $16K | — | — |