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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (807–616, n=1423) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 61% (398–250, n=648) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $11.0M | $216K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #824 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #26 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (150 of 224 open) | 59% (67 of 113 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 72% (28 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Weather ±0 pts, n=885 | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 1699 at avg 62¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 401 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 2% of 602) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 42% of 48) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 56% (won 99% of 224) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 70% of 60) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 33% (won 100% of 134) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 99% of 989) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.